Talks

I present our work on inferring causality in the classical world and encourage the audience to think about possible generalizations to the quantum world. Statistical dependences between observed quantities X and Y indicate a causal relation, but it is a priori not clear whether X caused Y or Y caused X or there is a common cause of both. It is widely believed that this can only be decided if either one is able to do interventions on the system, or if X and Y are part of a larger set of variables. In the latter case, conditional statistical independences contain some information on causal directions, formalized by the Causal Markov Condition on directed acyclic graphs. Contrary to this belief, we have shown that empirical joint distributions of just two variables often indicate the causal direction. The observed asymmetry between cause and effect is, on the one hand, related to the thermodynamic arrow of time. On the other hand, it can be derived from a new principle that we have postulated: the Algorithmic Causal Markov Condition, which relates Kolmogorov complexity to causality.  
Literature: [1] Janzing, Schoelkopf: Causal inference using the algorithmic Markov condition, IEEE TIT 2010. 
[2] Daniusis, Janzing,...: Inferring deterministic causal relations, UAI 2010. 
[3] Janzing: On the entropy production of time-series with uni-directional linearity.Journ. Stat. Phys. 2010.

During the last ten years, a lot of experimental information has been collected from neutrino oscillation experiments  on the masses and and mixings among the three known  neutrino species. This presents  an almost comparable flavor picture for leptons as is already known to exist for quarks. In the talk I would like to discuss what these results imply for physics beyond the standard model since SM predicts zero neutrino mass. In particular, it seems that one can make a compelling case for the idea of grand unified theory of matter and forces as a candidate theory for neutrinos as well as providing a possible route to flavor unification. I will  outline these arguments,  present a candidate theory and discuss  its tests.